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Labor slides four points since election called |
As we do these polls for qualitative rather than quantitative reasons I wouldn't swear that this is the result, but it is interesting that the samples are consistent enough to more or less mirror what is happening in the polls which are designed to do quantitative analysis. This is the table with the first preference votes from the total sample:
The only significant movements have been in the Liberal and Labor votes. Rounding accounts for the difference betwen -3% and +4%. This is reflected in the two-party preferred vote. At the same time there is a much faster deterioration in Julia Gillard's position as preferred Prime Minister. And an even faster one in her approval ratings. Which is almost equalled by the increase in Tony Abbott's approvals. While 59% of our sample would vote Labor on a two-party preferred basis they disapprove of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott almost equally. Abbott polarises voters a bit more with slightly more in the "strongly approve" and "strongly disapprove" categories and a few less in the "neither approve nor disapprove" and "unsure" categories. |
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