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Tuesday, 19 July 2011 21:32 |
Written by Graham Young
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Australian politics is increasingly negative. Many Labor voters cite Tony Abbott as a reason for voting Labor, while many Liberal voters do the same with Julia Gillard. Over to one side is a group of voters who just wish they had another option. Even when respondents are positive about the leader of the party they would vote for it is often qualified by phrases like "least worst".
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Tuesday, 19 July 2011 19:50 |
Written by Graham Young
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Climate change, and its proposed cure - a carbon tax - are the major issue in this poll. With the economy and cost of living making a supporting appearance. The Greens have also solidified into a major issue for non-Labor voters. The Leximancer map graphically illustrates it. (Liberal voters are to the right and Labor and Greens voters to the left. The vann diagram groups words into themes and associates them with each other and with types of voter.)
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Saturday, 16 July 2011 17:53 |
Written by Graham Young
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Has public opinion overshot on the two-party preferred vote? Our panel certainly suggests that it might be a mirror reverse of what happened in the run-up to the 2007 election. Kevin 24/7 consistently scored over 55 per cent of the two-party preferred vote (sometimes almost as high as 60 percent) only to fall back to around 52 per cent at the election.
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Friday, 15 July 2011 07:37 |
Written by Graham Young
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Our first preference index shows a continued decline in Labor with an implied two-party preferred vote for the Coalition over the government of 56% to 44%.
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Monday, 23 May 2011 20:50 |
Written by Graham Young
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The Leximancer graph of responses to whether the country is heading in the right direction shows just how "tight" times are for many in the population. The three themes identified by the software are all to do with money. They move from the more to the less abstract from left to right.
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Sunday, 22 May 2011 19:31 |
Written by Graham Young
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Wayne Swan's budget failed to excite respondents, and it was delivered against a background of fragile public confidence in the direction in which the country is heading.
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Saturday, 21 May 2011 08:24 |
Written by Graham Young
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Was the 2011 budget “...a dog's breakfast. Give some, take some, end up where you were before”?
Or “Very well-balanced between the need for fiscal rectitude and the need to address outstanding social/health issues. Also a modest windback of middle class welfare”?
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Friday, 20 May 2011 07:34 |
Written by Graham Young
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Newspoll published its latest quarterly survey of Queensland voting results this month, but you needn't have waited that long to know what difference Campbell Newman's selection as LNP leader made in Queensland politics.
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Thursday, 31 March 2011 09:43 |
Written by Graham Young
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For a couple of years Climate Change was one of the most dominating issues in our analysis, and respondents were either for it or against it. In this survey the issue has effectively become split in two. Those on the left continue to be concerned about it, but on the right concern is not about climate change directly, but the Carbon Tax, which is supposed to address it.
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