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Exit poll federal election 2016 |
We've released two pieces of analysis on our exit poll. The first is our standard analysis with the quantitative tables on the sample and the Leximancer maps. You can download that by clicking here. It dovetails with our earlier research showing social issues and climate change being prime motivators for Labor and Greens voters, the economy and debt being prime motivators for Liberal and National supporters, and non-Greens minor party voters being concerned about the economy, but also cultural issues such as refugees, Islam, terrorism and gay marriage. The second piece of analysis looks at the contribution that the issues of Medicare, superannuation and the economy made to the vote. This shows Medicare as being a small benefit to the Coalition, superannuation negative, but with a small subset of voters, and the economy positive for the Coalition. These issues were more positive for the Coalition with non-Greens minor party voters, who held the key to the election. You can download this second piece of research by clicking here. However, as our analysis piece published in On Line Opinion today shows, Labor still got a good share of the minor party vote. The next term of parliament should be an arm wrestle over that vote, with whoever winning it forming the next government in 2015 of 2016. You can read the analysis by clicking here. |
Comments
Really does not have anything to do with me at all. Go back beyond the 1950s!
Turnbull showed no leadership after becoming PM.
Labor showed some economic leadership, but after their meltdown prob not quite ready to be in Govt again.
The greens need to frame a better economic narrative, but there's hope under Di Natale that they could become a reasonable 3rd force in politics.
Politics in Australia is in a very sad state. Too much time spent on point scoring and not enough on being truthful with the public that we're going to have to start earning our way in the world again.
We will experience declining standards of living until we regain our global competitiveness , that the ageing of the population and declining workers to dependants ratio means we need a radical restructuring of the tax system to keep it sustainable.
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