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Labor down, Libs and Greens soar |
I've plotted the latest quantitative results from our polling and it is a brutal story for Labor. In the 2 years since we've been tracking our respondents Labor has lost around 33 percent of its first preference vote, unlike the Liberals and Greens who have both gained more than 30 percent. (These are real percentages, not percentage points, so a decline from 39 percent to 26 percent would be a 33 percent decline, which is about what has happened to Labor). The directions in our surveys continue to track the properly randomised polls, all of which are showing Labor at all time lows for its primary vote and relying on Greens preferences to remain competitive with the Liberal Party. The weakness of Labor vote is why the Greens have good prospects of winning lower house seats in Victoria and New South Wales in these next elections. Which is another way of saying the strength of the Greens vote.
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Comments
Many of us left existing parties for the same reasons as people are turning away from politics generally - disillusioned in the power plays and lack of commitment to the job that needs desperately to be done!
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