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Is differentiate or disappear working? October quants |
I have my theories on that, which I will explore as I look at the qualitative data in particular, but the strongest candidate appears to be that with both the ALP and Liberals set to pass climate change legislation, the Nationals appear to be the only party standing against not just the ETS, but the idea that global warming is manmade. The increase in their vote is therefore likely to be at the expense of the Liberals and some of the minor parties with some also pulled from the government. While the Utegate scandal has slipped into the background, the Liberal Party vote hasn't recovered from it, but it is still worth noting that the result today is little different from 12 months ago suggesting that voters make their minds up on a range of issues, not just one. There is no silver bullet for either side. |
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