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Tuesday, 21 January 2014 15:11 |
Written by Graham Young
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According to our First Preference Index, Liberal and Labor votes are back to levels of support last seen in September/October 2010, which means you couldn't be sure who would win an election at the moment on a two-party preferred basis.
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Monday, 14 October 2013 14:54 |
Written by Graham Young
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The Greens complete the trifecta both of major parties, and of parties where the parliamentary leader is not the favourite of the electorate at large. Unlike Labor the current leader, Christine Milne, is popular with Greens supporters, but unlike the Liberals where the leader is wildly popular with his party support base, her support is only just ahead of Adam Bandt amongst Greens supporters.
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Monday, 14 October 2013 10:37 |
Written by Graham Young
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While the ALP has a leader that the party and the electorate don't wants, the Liberal Party has a leader that the party, but not the electorate, wants. It's a better position to be in, but it's a long way from perfect.
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Sunday, 13 October 2013 18:11 |
Written by Graham Young
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As predicted by our polling Anthony Albanese won the support of the Labor Party rank and file. The figure was 60 per cent rather than the 76 per cent of Labor voters who told us they would vote for Albanese. Bill Shorten won because he received 63.9% of the caucus vote.
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Thursday, 10 October 2013 11:43 |
Written by Graham Young
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Anthony Albanese is viewed as a genuine guy with little baggage and a lot of loyalty, and the capacity to be effective in government. Bill Shorten is viewed as a fixer and manipulator with malleable loyalties, and the capacity to be effective in government.
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Thursday, 10 October 2013 11:17 |
Written by Graham Young
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Our poll on the Labor leadership has Anthony Albanese as the outright favourite against Bill Shorten. It also finds that the most popular leadership contender after Albanese out of Albanese, Shorten, Plibersek and Rudd is Tanya Plibersek.
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Monday, 07 October 2013 22:59 |
Written by Graham Young
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It seems counterintuitive given what I saw during the campaign, but the figures suggest that the Liberal Party lost the campaign with their vote at the start being much higher than their vote at the end. At least according to our first preference index.
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Sunday, 29 September 2013 21:18 |
Written by Graham Young
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So, the reason coalition supporters read newspapers is because they tend to be older, right? Well, that was my working hypothesis until I looked at the data. Turns out younger voters are big consumers of newspapers as well as social media and blogs.
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Wednesday, 25 September 2013 12:01 |
Written by Graham Young
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Political campaigns and the media engage in giant feedback loops, particularly in the course of a campaign. Some media give you better access to certain demographics than others; some media are more critical than others; and whatever is in the media demands a response, even if that response is to do nothing, which influences what you do in your campaign.
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