Polls Blog
FPI index shows Greens slow collapse hurting Labor
Friday, 07 June 2013 07:00 | Written by Graham Young

I've just calculated the First Preference Index for our April/May poll which shows that the Libs have risen again, Labor is static, and the Greens are in decline.

 
Is Crean running for leader?
Monday, 01 April 2013 01:24 | Written by Graham Young

Is Simon Crean positioning himself for a leadership challenge? Today's Australian carries the story "Simon Crean to fight plan for superannuation tax changes as internal rift deepens".

 
Western Australia - the qual
Tuesday, 12 March 2013 21:24 | Written by Graham Young

The issues in this election were fairly clear. As noted in the quants, there was strong support for the direction in which the state is heading. The qual shows that this is largely because of the state's booming economy, with the only negatives being around flow-on issues such as increased traffic congestion.

 
WA Election Quants
Monday, 11 March 2013 20:52 | Written by Graham Young

There were few surprises in the quantitative results from our Western Australian survey. It was a clear case of a popular government versus an opposition that was never really in the game, with huge expectations of a Liberal win about its only lever.

 
Preferred leaders - the quants
Tuesday, 05 March 2013 00:39 | Written by Graham Young

For the second year running we have conducted one of our detailed surveys into preferred leadership of the two major political parties, and there are some surprising twists and turns. If politics was a popularity contest, then Malcolm Turnbull would be the next Australian PM, but it isn't.

 
January Omnibus - the quants
Monday, 11 February 2013 12:41 | Written by Graham Young

Our January 2013 results were in line with the results at the end of last year - the government has improved, but not enough. As noted earlier, subsequent quantitative polling by Newspoll and Galaxy suggest that once Australians returned from holidays the mood changed.

 
First preference index remains stable
Monday, 11 February 2013 12:06 | Written by Graham Young

Our poll was conducted early in January and shows little movement in the major party votes - a slight fall for the Liberals and Labor and a slight rise for the Greens.

 
Julia Gillard and the AWU
Wednesday, 12 December 2012 23:13 | Written by Graham Young

Almost fifty per cent of Australians disapprove of Julia Gillard's involvement in the AWU scandal and only eleven per cent approve, but more than fifty per cent disagree with the Opposition's pursuit of the issue. I've tried to explain the paradox at On Line Opinion in "Gillard was wrong, but we don't care". This post contains the quantitative figures.

 
Child Abuse Commission has overwhelming support
Monday, 10 December 2012 01:38 | Written by Graham Young

The federal government's royal commission in to child sexual abuse is overwhelmingly supported. In a virtual focus group of 966 respondents, balanced by voting intention we found the only significant resistance was from Liberal voters, but that was only 18 per cent.

 
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